Author

Steve Moncrieff

Managing Director, Dairy Connect

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By this author

48 pieces

Analysis · 10 min read

Cheddar rises 9% in a month and still trails the milk price

Mild Cheddar rose 9% in September, taking a litre made into Cheddar and whey to 39.08 pence and putting cheese back above butter and powder at the factory gate, but the October milk price rises were announced weeks before that figure was published, and AHDB says Cheddar prices remain too low to cover them.

29 September 2026

Analysis · 7 min read

The invoice arrives this autumn. Nobody can tell you what it says.

The most expensive packaging decision available to a mid-sized processor this year is not a material decision at all: packaging with missing recyclability data is rated red, so 100 tonnes rated red by default rather than by design costs £13,000 more than the same tonnage rated green — larger than the gap between a realistic pack mix and a perfect one.

22 September 2026

Brief · 2 min read

The three numbers in your packaging budget are last year's

Year-two EPR resets the rate and starts charging on recyclability, so the number worth working out this month is not tonnage times rate but the red, amber and green split — and how much of the red is red only because an assessment was never submitted.

21 September 2026

Shopping trolley in a supermarket aisle with shelves and shoppers blurred behind it

Brief · 10 min read

The value test at both ends of the chain

Protein's growth lead over the wider market has more than halved since January while wholesale Cheddar has barely moved as milk gets dearer, so the processor is squeezed from the shelf and the wholesale market at once, and cheese makers meet the margin test first.

15 September 2026

Wedges and rounds of aged cheese with dark rinds stacked on a market counter

Brief · 5 min read

What the week returned

Two of the three routes out of a British dairy can be compared against a declared standard every month while the third has to be argued from first principles each time; whether that changes any capital decision is still unevidenced, and each role in the chain has one thing to do about it on Monday.

11 September 2026

Infinity symbol formed from whey protein powder, its edges breaking into dust against a pale background

Analysis · 6 min read

Two routes start with a number. The third starts with an argument.

No published UK or Irish indicator isolates a protein route, so a fractionation proposal has to build its own reference case as well as prove the asset, and the board's job is to test that third route with the same discipline the butter, powder and Cheddar routes already receive.

10 September 2026

Splash of milk frozen in the shape of an infinity symbol against an orange background

Analysis · 14 min read

What is a litre worth once it leaves the farm, and who decides?

The sector already values processing routes on declared assumptions for two routes and has considered a third product, yet the route retail demand is moving towards has no published comparator, so every fractionation paper reaching a board has been priced by its author.

8 September 2026

Stainless steel pipework, valves, pumps and flow meters of a dairy processing skid

Analysis · 4 min read

The Invisible Factory: the value leaving dairy through its drains

The largest untapped margin on most dairy sites is not a new product but the value already leaving as effluent, heat and yield loss; the first commercial act is to measure it.

20 August 2026

Stainless steel balance tanks and pipework inside a dairy processing plant

Analysis · 3 min read

Can a dairy become its own energy company?

Energy from waste is moving from a compliance cost to a resilience asset; the dairies that run digestion as a business line, not a bolt-on, hedge energy price and carbon at the same time.

19 August 2026

Curds separating from whey around steel cutting blades in a cheesemaking vat

Analysis · 4 min read

Acid whey is not the problem. The business model is.

Acid whey is a business-model failure, not a technical one; the value is real but stranded until processors design for a saleable co-product rather than a disposal problem.

18 August 2026

Chef in a black glove sprinkling grated cheese over a dish in a professional kitchen

Report · 8 min read

The Smaller Plate

As UK foodservice reorganises menus around protein rather than volume, dairy's natural, trusted protein story positions it to win the eating-out occasion, not just the supermarket shelf.

15 August 2026

Woman with a red shopping basket reading a milk bottle by the supermarket dairy aisle

Report · 7 min read

The Protein Pound

The most heavily marketed protein products are typically the most expensive sources of protein on the shelf, while everyday dairy delivers more for far less.

13 August 2026

Scoop of protein powder being poured into a black and orange shaker bottle

Report · 5 min read

The Great Protein Race

Consumers are not choosing the highest-protein products but those that combine protein with familiarity, convenience and trust, an advantage dairy already holds.

11 August 2026

Yoghurt bowls topped with berries, kiwi, granola and chia seeds on pink

Analysis · 4 min read

The next dairy growth story is cultured

With protein claims now table stakes, fermentation expertise and culture-led texture will decide which dairy businesses keep shoppers.

16 July 2026

Close-up of a Parmigiano cheese wedge showing the stencilled rind markings

Analysis · 5 min read

The provenance on the rind

Italy's protected DOP cheeses offer UK premium retailers a substitution barrier own-label cannot copy, provided they are ranged with discipline.

25 June 2026

Skewers of mozzarella pearls and cherry tomatoes topped with fresh basil

Analysis · 4 min read

Cream of the crop

Dairy's foodservice growth in 2026 will come from smaller, protein-dense, provenance-led plates rather than simply larger portions.

19 June 2026

Chunks of crumbled white feta cheese on a blue-grey plate

Analysis · 3 min read

FETA PDO: provenance the buyer can verify

With speciality cheese outgrowing the category and feta supply tightening, buyers should secure genuine PDO product early rather than treat it as a commodity.

19 June 2026

Wheels of cheese maturing on wooden shelves in a stone-walled ageing cellar

Analysis · 3 min read

The artisan advantage

Farmhouse and artisan cheesemakers punch far above their tonnage, defining reputation and premium value the wider dairy sector should treat as strategic.

19 June 2026

Close-up of a screen showing volatile red and green financial trend lines

Analysis · 4 min read

2026 the volatility year

2026 will not be the recovery year the sector expected but the year that resets it, splitting shoppers into clearer tiers and leaving mainstream Cheddar the most exposed.

27 April 2026

Blurred illuminated Dairy sign above a supermarket chilled aisle

Report · 11 min read

Retail intelligence report 2026/27

The UK grocery market is splitting into premium own-brand and hard discount, and a supplier's position on that barbell and inside aligned contracts will decide its 2026/27 fortunes.

24 April 2026

Woman scooping chocolate protein powder from a tub beside a measuring shaker

Analysis · 11 min read

The whey forward 2026/27

UK and Irish producers who commit whey-processing capex before 2028 will capture premium margin for a decade, while those still exporting raw whey watch the value accrue elsewhere.

24 April 2026

Herd of fawn Jersey cows walking towards camera across a green field

Analysis · 6 min read

The return of fat: how Jersey milk signals a structural shift in dairy demand

The full-fat revival is a structural repositioning of dairy as naturally functional, but capturing lasting value depends on the industry's strategic alignment.

19 March 2026

Wegovy injectable weight-loss pen lying on a plain white surface

Analysis · 6 min read

GLP-1, protein and dairy's opportunity

As GLP-1 users prioritise nutritional density, dairy's high-quality protein becomes a real advantage if the sector repositions its messaging.

13 March 2026

Row of foil-capped glass bottles filled with fresh milk

Analysis · 12 min read

Dairy won in court. But it's still losing the kitchen table

Legal protection of the word milk means little unless dairy harnesses the mainstream protein trend to rebuild everyday consumption habits, especially among under-30s.

12 February 2026

Smiling woman with curly hair and glasses in a white shirt looking down

Report · 2 min read

Where pressure is really building in cheese & dairy

The research aims to identify where targeted intervention could unlock disproportionate value for cheese and dairy over the next 12 to 36 months.

3 February 2026

Wood-fired pizza with peppers on a peel before a flaming oven

Analysis · 3 min read

Pizza hasn't peaked. Our interpretation of it has.

Pizza should be treated as a system to be engineered around cheese performance and provenance, not a mature category defended on price.

2 February 2026

Protein powder being poured from a scoop into a shaker bottle

Analysis · 5 min read

Part 3 | from by-product to billion-euro asset

Ireland's whey advantage in functional nutrition rests on value extraction over volume, and sustaining it demands relentless investment in processing, research and talent.

13 January 2026

Retro advert still of a boy drinking milk captioned only milk will do

Analysis · 5 min read

Milk didn't fail. The industry lost its voice.

UK dairy needs a coordinated, commercially measured campaign to restore milk's cultural relevance, particularly among under-30s, or risk marginalisation by drift.

9 January 2026

Man carrying a shopping basket past a supermarket chilled dairy aisle

Analysis · 12 min read

Designing dairy's next chapter

Producers who define a clear role in the retail system, invest in data literacy and collaborate will outperform those coasting on heritage and quality alone.

6 January 2026

Three wind turbines silhouetted on a hilltop ridge against a cloudy sky

Analysis · 5 min read

Part 2 | the sustainability reckoning

Irish dairy's climate reckoning is painful, but verified low-carbon production could turn sustainability into a defensible premium export advantage.

6 January 2026

Festive cheeseboard with blue cheese, brie, grapes, walnuts and berry compote

Analysis · 4 min read

Cheese & dairy: a year that redefined the curve

In 2025 the dairy businesses that invested in brand storytelling, collaboration and functional innovation captured margin, while those relying on quality alone stalled.

11 December 2025

Herd of black and white dairy cows grazing green pasture under stormy skies

Analysis · 5 min read

Part 1 | Irish dairy at a crossroads

Constrained by tightening environmental limits, Irish dairy must build strategy around value, speciality products and verified sustainability rather than more volume.

11 December 2025

Cottage cheese piled on rye crispbread crackers topped with pea shoots on a wooden board

Analysis · 6 min read

Cottage cheese: from trend to transformation

With volume up 29.4% and value up 26.2%, cottage cheese offers UK retailers, foodservice operators and artisan producers a rare simultaneous growth opportunity.

5 November 2025

Curds separating from whey around steel cutting blades in a cheesemaking vat

Analysis · 4 min read

Whey forward: redefining value across beauty, wellness and performance

Whey's shift from byproduct to high-value bioeconomy ingredient is an open opportunity British dairy can capture through R&D, traceability and scientific validation.

4 November 2025

Double cheeseburger with melted cheese and bacon on a plate against a dark background

Report · 5 min read

Quarter 4 cheese report 2025

UK cheese growth to 2033 will reward clear good-better-best positioning, with the independent ICDA increasingly serving as a market signal for buyers and producers.

24 October 2025

Cheese counter shelves stacked with wedges and truckles bearing price labels

Analysis · 3 min read

Let's start with some cheesy education…

Understanding processed, unprocessed, pasteurised and unpasteurised cheese helps makers, sellers and buyers judge quality with confidence.

28 May 2025

Globe splashing into milk against a pale blue background

Analysis · 4 min read

UK & European dairy in flux: understanding market volatility amid global disruption

The volatility across UK and European dairy is structural rather than cyclical, and producers must evolve through it rather than wait it out.

12 May 2025

Glass bottles of white, pink and chocolate flavoured milk on a soft pink background

Analysis · 3 min read

Flavoured milk in the UK

Flavoured milk's future growth lies in protein, function and premiumisation rather than nostalgia, offering brands a rare second chance.

8 April 2025

World map built from stacked colourful shipping containers on a pale blue background

Analysis · 4 min read

The U.S. tariffs: a wake-up call for the UK and European dairy industries

The US tariffs make market diversification, provenance-led premium positioning and coordinated trade lobbying urgent priorities for UK and European dairy producers.

8 April 2025

Stocked cheese counter with Dutch, Aged and Washed section signs

Analysis · 4 min read

What the UK retail sector can learn from leading US cheese retailers

UK retailers can unlock cheese-category value by investing in staff expertise, curated ranges, in-store theatre, education and regional provenance.

8 April 2025

Red directional signpost reading Tariffs over an abstract falling market graph

Analysis · 4 min read

Navigating tariff challenges in a shifting global trade landscape

UK dairy can weather a more protectionist world by diversifying markets, leaning on premium provenance and actively shaping trade policy rather than absorbing tariff shocks.

18 March 2025

Wedges of blue-veined and orange cheddar cheese on a wooden board

Analysis · 9 min read

British territorial cheeses - reimagining tradition for the modern consumer

British territorial cheeses can win younger shoppers by leaning into protein, sustainability, experience and award recognition rather than nostalgia alone.

27 February 2025

Woman with red shopping basket reading a milk bottle by the supermarket dairy aisle

Analysis · 6 min read

Adapting to changing consumer behaviour: opportunities for cheese brands in the UK

Cheese brands can defend share by differentiating on health, provenance and sustainability rather than competing on price alone.

25 February 2025

Greek salad topped with a feta block beside olives and dips on a seaside table

Analysis · 4 min read

FETA PDO: bridging Greek heritage and UK cheese trends for strategic growth

FETA PDO's certified origin and traditional method give UK retailers a credible premium story to justify higher price tiers.

25 February 2025

Cheesemonger's shelves stacked with varied artisan cheeses and handwritten price labels

Analysis · 4 min read

Beyond Cheddar and Brie: say cheese

The UK's cheese opportunity lies not in more products but in coordinated education that inspires shoppers to explore beyond the familiar.

11 February 2025

Deli counter shelves stacked with cut cheeses and handwritten price tags

Analysis · 7 min read

Driving cheese education in the UK: how supermarkets and social media are fuelling market growth

Retailers that invest in education, in-store tasting and influencer content convert consumer curiosity into repeat premium cheese sales.

29 January 2025

Aerial view of wind turbines above striped pink and green tulip fields

Analysis · 6 min read

Sustainability: the driving force behind the dairy and cheese industry's transformation in 2025

Producers that embed and clearly communicate sustainable practices will win consumer trust and secure long-term commercial advantage.

29 January 2025

Humanoid robot arranging blocks of cheese on a factory conveyor line

Analysis · 5 min read

The future of cheese & dairy 2025

UK dairy brands that lead with sustainability, health credentials and provenance, not just price, will stay relevant to conscious consumers.

29 January 2025